Egypt vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
12%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
5.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
EGY
0 - 0
COD
84%
12%
5%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
EGY
1 - 0
NIG
88%
9%
3%
|
89 | 59 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2012 |
EGY
5 - 0
KEN
88%
9%
3%
|
89 | 59 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2011 |
EGY
0 - 2
BRA
16%
21%
63%
|
90 | 99 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
EGY
3 - 0
NIG
86%
10%
4%
|
89 | 61 | 28 | +1 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
CGO
3 - 1
UGA
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2011 |
BDI
1 - 0
UGA
14%
22%
64%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
SDN
2 - 3
UGA
42%
26%
33%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
SSD
0 - 0
UGA
19%
21%
60%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 1
UGA
69%
20%
11%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | +1 |