Egypt vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
7.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2011 |
EGY
5 - 1
TAN
83%
12%
5%
|
89 | 63 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2010 |
QAT
2 - 1
EGY
29%
29%
42%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
EGY
3 - 0
AUS
56%
23%
20%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
NIG
1 - 0
EGY
6%
20%
74%
|
89 | 55 | 34 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
EGY
1 - 1
SLE
81%
13%
6%
|
89 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
UGA
4 - 3
ETH
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2010 |
TAN
5 - 4
UGA
26%
26%
48%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
UGA
2 - 0
KEN
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2010 |
MWI
1 - 1
UGA
33%
26%
42%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2010 |
ETH
1 - 2
UGA
30%
26%
44%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |