Egypt vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.4%
5.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2005 |
EGY
1 - 2
TUN
66%
20%
14%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
CMR
1 - 1
EGY
43%
29%
28%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
EGY
4 - 1
BEN
97%
3%
1%
|
88 | 54 | 34 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2005 |
POR
2 - 0
EGY
77%
16%
7%
|
88 | 96 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2005 |
EGY
5 - 4
UAE
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2005 |
RWA
1 - 0
UGA
38%
25%
38%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
UGA
3 - 0
SDN
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2005 |
UGA
7 - 0
SOM
80%
13%
6%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2005 |
UGA
6 - 1
DJI
77%
15%
8%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
UGA
0 - 0
ETH
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |