Egypt vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.5%
8.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 1976 |
EGY
1 - 1
GUI
71%
16%
13%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1974 |
EGY
4 - 0
CGO
76%
14%
10%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1974 |
EGY
2 - 3
COD
71%
16%
13%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1974 |
EGY
2 - 0
CIV
74%
15%
11%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1974 |
EGY
3 - 1
ZAM
80%
12%
8%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 1976 |
ETH
2 - 0
UGA
58%
21%
22%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1975 |
MWI
2 - 1
UGA
33%
25%
42%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1975 |
KEN
1 - 1
UGA
57%
20%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1975 |
ZAM
0 - 1
UGA
59%
19%
23%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1974 |
TAN
5 - 3
UGA
57%
19%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |