Egypt vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.4%
Win probability
3.57
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.6%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.3%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.5%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.7%
4.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1962 |
EGY
1 - 0
AUT
37%
23%
40%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
MAR
2 - 2
EGY
60%
18%
22%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
EGY
13 - 0
KSA
47%
21%
32%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 1961 |
EGY
0 - 2
HUN
19%
19%
62%
|
67 | 92 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1960 |
EGY
3 - 3
TUR
59%
20%
22%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |