Egypt vs Sierra Leone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
5.9%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
EGY
6 - 3
COD
78%
15%
7%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
ENG
3 - 1
EGY
77%
16%
7%
|
90 | 98 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
GHA
0 - 1
EGY
24%
26%
50%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
ALG
0 - 4
EGY
18%
24%
58%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2010 |
EGY
3 - 1
CMR
61%
20%
19%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sierra Leone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2009 |
SYR
6 - 0
SLE
65%
21%
15%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
NGA
4 - 1
SLE
73%
19%
9%
|
67 | 89 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
SLE
2 - 1
EQG
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
RSA
0 - 0
SLE
67%
21%
12%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
SLE
1 - 0
RSA
17%
24%
59%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | +1 |