Egypt vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
7.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
GHA
6 - 1
EGY
33%
27%
40%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
EGY
3 - 0
UGA
83%
12%
5%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
EGY
4 - 2
GUI
80%
14%
7%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
EGY
3 - 0
UGA
83%
12%
5%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
MOZ
0 - 1
EGY
15%
25%
59%
|
87 | 58 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
BRA
2 - 0
ZAM
92%
7%
1%
|
77 | 98 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
GHA
2 - 1
ZAM
59%
24%
18%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
ZAM
1 - 1
SEN
39%
29%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 1
ZAM
23%
26%
51%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
ZIM
0 - 2
ZAM
22%
25%
54%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |