Egypt vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
8.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
EGY
2 - 2
GHA
69%
19%
12%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2009 |
EGY
1 - 0
KEN
81%
14%
6%
|
90 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
EGY
5 - 1
BEN
82%
13%
5%
|
90 | 61 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
EGY
4 - 0
DJI
97%
3%
1%
|
90 | 37 | 53 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
COD
0 - 1
EGY
24%
29%
47%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
SEN
1 - 2
ZAM
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
COD
2 - 1
ZAM
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
ZAM
1 - 1
TAN
62%
23%
15%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
ZAM
0 - 0
SEN
33%
29%
38%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
CIV
0 - 3
ZAM
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | +1 |