Egypt vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
12.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2002 |
EGY
1 - 0
TUN
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
EGY
0 - 1
SEN
71%
18%
12%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2002 |
EGY
2 - 2
BFA
82%
12%
6%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
EGY
1 - 2
MLI
82%
13%
6%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2002 |
EGY
2 - 0
GHA
66%
20%
13%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2002 |
SEN
1 - 0
ZAM
41%
25%
33%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2002 |
ZAM
0 - 0
TUN
31%
28%
41%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2002 |
BFA
2 - 1
ZAM
25%
25%
51%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2002 |
MLI
1 - 1
ZAM
34%
28%
38%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2001 |
ETH
1 - 2
ZAM
34%
28%
38%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |