Egypt vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2000 |
TOG
1 - 0
EGY
13%
23%
64%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
CIV
2 - 0
EGY
46%
27%
27%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2000 |
EGY
4 - 0
GAB
75%
16%
9%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2000 |
EGY
2 - 1
TOG
84%
12%
5%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
EGY
1 - 0
NAM
88%
9%
3%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1999 |
HND
7 - 1
ZAM
48%
27%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1999 |
TUN
0 - 0
ZAM
51%
26%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
TUN
2 - 1
ZAM
50%
26%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
ZAM
1 - 2
KSA
38%
29%
34%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1999 |
ZAM
0 - 0
KSA
38%
28%
34%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |