Egypt vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
29.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2006 |
ESP
2 - 0
EGY
78%
16%
6%
|
88 | 98 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2006 |
CIV
0 - 0
EGY
38%
26%
37%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2006 |
EGY
2 - 1
SEN
76%
15%
10%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2006 |
EGY
4 - 1
COD
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
EGY
3 - 1
CIV
68%
18%
15%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2006 |
TUN
0 - 0
URU
29%
27%
44%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2006 |
LBY
1 - 2
URU
16%
25%
60%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2006 |
SCG
1 - 1
URU
23%
24%
53%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2006 |
URU
2 - 0
ROU
37%
27%
37%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
URU
1 - 0
NIR
70%
20%
10%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |