Egypt vs Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.9%
Win probability
3.45
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.9%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.1%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.3%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.1%
5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1963 |
EGY
6 - 3
NGA
73%
15%
12%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1963 |
EGY
2 - 0
LBN
68%
16%
16%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1963 |
ALG
2 - 2
EGY
56%
19%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 1963 |
ALG
1 - 1
EGY
56%
19%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1963 |
EGY
0 - 1
BRA
28%
23%
49%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1959 |
EGY
2 - 1
SDN
86%
9%
6%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1959 |
SDN
1 - 0
ETH
60%
20%
21%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 1957 |
CHN
4 - 1
SDN
77%
13%
11%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
SDN
1 - 2
EGY
42%
23%
35%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1956 |
ETH
2 - 1
SDN
73%
15%
12%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |