Egypt vs South Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
4.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
8.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
10%
4-0
13.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
+4
16.1%
3-0
17%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
21%
2-0
16%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
15%
6.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
6.5%
1.4%
Win probability
0.27
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.3%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
GUI
1 - 2
EGY
22%
24%
54%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
MWI
0 - 4
EGY
10%
23%
67%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
EGY
2 - 0
MWI
81%
14%
6%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 2
EGY
84%
11%
5%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
EGY
3 - 0
LBR
82%
13%
5%
|
84 | 54 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
SSD
2 - 3
GAM
13%
20%
68%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
SSD
0 - 1
CGO
18%
21%
61%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
CGO
1 - 2
SSD
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
SSD
3 - 2
DJI
68%
18%
14%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
DJI
1 - 4
SSD
20%
23%
57%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |