Egypt vs Portugal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
27.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1928 |
EGY
7 - 1
TUR
48%
22%
30%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1924 |
SWE
5 - 0
EGY
69%
17%
14%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1924 |
AUT
3 - 1
EGY
68%
17%
15%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1924 |
SWE
5 - 0
EGY
62%
19%
19%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 1920 |
EGY
4 - 2
YUG
91%
6%
2%
|
71 | 6 | 65 | +2 |
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1928 |
YUG
1 - 2
POR
18%
22%
60%
|
75 | 18 | 57 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1928 |
POR
4 - 2
CHI
73%
16%
12%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1928 |
FRA
1 - 1
POR
42%
23%
35%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1928 |
POR
4 - 1
ITA
51%
22%
27%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1928 |
POR
0 - 0
ARG
45%
24%
32%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |