Egypt vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
EGY
4 - 0
CHA
97%
3%
0%
|
89 | 47 | 42 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
EGY
2 - 1
UGA
83%
12%
5%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
EGY
0 - 0
COD
84%
12%
5%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
EGY
1 - 0
NIG
88%
9%
3%
|
89 | 59 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2012 |
EGY
5 - 0
KEN
88%
9%
3%
|
89 | 59 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
RWA
0 - 0
NGA
18%
29%
53%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
LBR
0 - 2
NGA
7%
21%
72%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2012 |
NGA
0 - 0
ANG
75%
17%
8%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
NGA
2 - 0
ZAM
72%
18%
10%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
NGA
0 - 0
BOT
80%
14%
5%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |