Egypt vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1984 |
EGY
0 - 0
TOG
78%
14%
9%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1984 |
EGY
2 - 1
CIV
67%
18%
15%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1984 |
EGY
1 - 0
CMR
66%
19%
14%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1983 |
MAR
2 - 1
EGY
47%
24%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1983 |
EGY
1 - 0
SYR
74%
15%
11%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1984 |
ALG
0 - 0
NGA
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1984 |
MWI
2 - 2
NGA
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1984 |
NGA
2 - 1
GHA
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1984 |
MAR
0 - 0
NGA
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1983 |
NGA
0 - 0
MLI
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |