Egypt vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
21.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1977 |
NGA
4 - 0
EGY
53%
21%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1976 |
NGA
3 - 2
EGY
55%
22%
23%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1976 |
GUI
4 - 2
EGY
59%
20%
21%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1976 |
MAR
2 - 1
EGY
60%
20%
20%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1976 |
ETH
1 - 1
EGY
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1977 |
NGA
4 - 0
EGY
53%
21%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
TUN
0 - 0
NGA
55%
21%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
NGA
2 - 1
GHA
51%
21%
28%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1977 |
NGA
2 - 0
SLE
73%
15%
12%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1977 |
CIV
2 - 2
NGA
43%
23%
34%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |