Egypt vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
12.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1963 |
EGY
2 - 0
LBN
68%
16%
16%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1963 |
ALG
2 - 2
EGY
56%
19%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1963 |
ALG
1 - 1
EGY
56%
19%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1963 |
EGY
0 - 1
BRA
28%
23%
49%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1963 |
EGY
2 - 0
CHN
54%
20%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1963 |
NGA
3 - 0
LBY
61%
18%
21%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1963 |
LBY
2 - 2
NGA
52%
20%
28%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1963 |
SEN
5 - 1
NGA
52%
20%
28%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 1963 |
NGA
4 - 0
SEN
60%
18%
22%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1963 |
GHA
5 - 0
NGA
60%
18%
22%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |