Egypt vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.6%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5%
5-0
7.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9.6%
4-0
12.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.5%
3-0
15.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.5%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.5%
7.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
7.3%
2.1%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2010 |
EGY
3 - 1
NGA
59%
21%
20%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2010 |
EGY
1 - 0
MLI
75%
16%
9%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2009 |
EGY
1 - 1
MWI
82%
13%
6%
|
89 | 63 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2009 |
ALG
1 - 0
EGY
30%
29%
41%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
EGY
2 - 0
ALG
80%
14%
6%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2010 |
MOZ
2 - 2
BEN
48%
25%
28%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2010 |
GAB
2 - 0
MOZ
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2009 |
ZAM
1 - 0
MOZ
55%
25%
21%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
MOZ
0 - 1
MWI
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
MOZ
1 - 0
TUN
22%
27%
51%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | +1 |