Egypt vs Kenya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
6.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1988 |
CMR
1 - 0
EGY
59%
22%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1988 |
EGY
1 - 0
BGR
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1987 |
KWT
0 - 2
EGY
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1987 |
KEN
0 - 1
EGY
25%
23%
52%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 1987 |
CMR
4 - 5
EGY
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1988 |
NGA
3 - 0
KEN
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1987 |
ETH
2 - 1
KEN
40%
28%
33%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1987 |
TAN
2 - 3
KEN
40%
27%
34%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 1987 |
KEN
0 - 1
EGY
25%
23%
52%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 1987 |
KEN
5 - 4
MWI
45%
24%
32%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |