Egypt vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
38.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 1953 |
EGY
4 - 0
SYR
72%
15%
14%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1953 |
EGY
1 - 3
YUG
40%
22%
38%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1952 |
YUG
5 - 0
EGY
82%
11%
8%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 1952 |
BRD
3 - 1
EGY
68%
17%
15%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 1952 |
EGY
5 - 4
CHI
55%
20%
25%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1953 |
ITA
0 - 3
HUN
52%
20%
28%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1953 |
CSK
2 - 0
ITA
45%
22%
32%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1952 |
ITA
2 - 0
SUI
80%
12%
8%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1952 |
SWE
1 - 1
ITA
64%
17%
19%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 1952 |
HUN
3 - 0
ITA
68%
16%
16%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | -1 |