Egypt vs Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2019 |
EGY
1 - 0
TAN
80%
14%
6%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
NGA
1 - 0
EGY
51%
25%
25%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
NIG
1 - 1
EGY
12%
22%
66%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2018 |
EGY
3 - 2
TUN
59%
23%
19%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
SWZ
0 - 2
EGY
8%
19%
73%
|
84 | 48 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2019 |
GUI
0 - 1
BEN
67%
20%
14%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
ANG
2 - 0
GUI
29%
26%
45%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
CTA
0 - 0
GUI
2%
6%
93%
|
74 | 26 | 48 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
GUI
1 - 1
CIV
33%
27%
41%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
RWA
1 - 1
GUI
21%
23%
56%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |