Egypt vs Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
9.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1969 |
EGY
1 - 3
DDR
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1969 |
EGY
3 - 1
SDN
74%
15%
11%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 1969 |
DDR
7 - 0
EGY
61%
20%
19%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1968 |
GRC
4 - 1
EGY
42%
22%
36%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1966 |
DDR
6 - 0
EGY
44%
21%
35%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
GUI
1 - 1
SLE
60%
19%
21%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1968 |
SLE
1 - 1
GUI
56%
20%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1968 |
MEX
4 - 0
GUI
83%
10%
7%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1968 |
GUI
3 - 2
COL
68%
17%
15%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
FRA
3 - 1
GUI
83%
11%
7%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |