Egypt vs USA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
43.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2009 |
EGY
1 - 0
ITA
12%
20%
68%
|
89 | 99 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2009 |
BRA
4 - 3
EGY
92%
6%
2%
|
89 | 100 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
ALG
3 - 1
EGY
28%
29%
43%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
OMA
0 - 1
EGY
35%
29%
36%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
EGY
1 - 1
ZAM
76%
16%
9%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2009 |
USA
0 - 3
BRA
13%
18%
69%
|
94 | 100 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2009 |
USA
1 - 3
ITA
26%
24%
50%
|
94 | 98 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
USA
2 - 1
HND
65%
21%
15%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2009 |
CRC
3 - 1
USA
31%
28%
41%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2009 |
USA
3 - 0
TTO
77%
16%
7%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |