WC Qual. Africa 1ra y 2da Ronda Final
Global 4-1
Egypt vs Chad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.9%
Win probability
3.63
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.6%
7-0
3.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.7%
6-0
6.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
7.2%
5-0
10.2%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
+5
12.3%
4-0
14.1%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
17.5%
3-0
15.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
4.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
2.2%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
4.8%
1.2%
Win probability
0.31
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 0
EGY
8%
16%
76%
|
86 | 49 | 37 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
EGY
3 - 0
ZAM
74%
17%
10%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 5
EGY
8%
16%
76%
|
86 | 48 | 38 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
EGY
3 - 0
TAN
86%
11%
4%
|
86 | 55 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2015 |
EGY
2 - 1
MWI
85%
12%
4%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 0
EGY
8%
16%
76%
|
49 | 86 | 37 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
GAB
0 - 1
CHA
77%
15%
7%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 2
GAB
13%
18%
69%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
SLE
2 - 1
CHA
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 0
SLE
17%
20%
63%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | +1 |