Egypt vs Burundi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
96.6%
Win probability
4.35
Expected goals
10-0
0.7%
+10
0.7%
9-0
1.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
1.7%
8-0
3.2%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
<0%
+8
3.6%
7-0
5.9%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
<0%
+7
6.7%
6-0
9.4%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
11%
5-0
13%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.2%
+5
15.6%
4-0
15%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
18.6%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.2%
2.4%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
1.1%
2-2
0.3%
3-3
<0%
0
2.4%
0.5%
Win probability
0.25
Expected goals
0-1
0.3%
1-2
0.1%
2-3
0%
-1
0.4%
0-2
0%
1-3
0%
-2
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
EGY
0 - 2
URU
45%
25%
30%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2006 |
ESP
2 - 0
EGY
78%
16%
6%
|
88 | 98 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2006 |
CIV
0 - 0
EGY
38%
26%
37%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2006 |
EGY
2 - 1
SEN
76%
15%
10%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2006 |
EGY
4 - 1
COD
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Burundi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
RWA
2 - 0
BDI
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2005 |
ERI
0 - 0
BDI
8%
15%
77%
|
51 | 18 | 33 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2005 |
TAN
2 - 1
BDI
53%
22%
25%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 2004 |
ETH
3 - 0
BDI
69%
18%
13%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2004 |
SDN
1 - 2
BDI
70%
18%
13%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +1 |