Egypt vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
36.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1998 |
KWT
1 - 1
EGY
51%
26%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1998 |
RSA
2 - 1
EGY
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1998 |
EGY
1 - 1
NOR
27%
28%
45%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1998 |
JPN
1 - 0
EGY
58%
23%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1998 |
MKD
2 - 2
EGY
30%
25%
45%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1998 |
MAR
4 - 1
BGR
39%
28%
33%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1998 |
BGR
0 - 0
ALG
75%
17%
8%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1998 |
BGR
0 - 1
SWE
31%
27%
43%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1998 |
ENG
0 - 0
BGR
71%
19%
10%
|
88 | 97 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1998 |
BGR
0 - 3
POL
52%
24%
24%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |