CAF Qualifying 1ra Ronda Final
Global 3-4
Egypt vs Central African Republic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
97.2%
Win probability
4.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.7%
+10
0.7%
9-0
1.6%
10-1
0.1%
+9
1.7%
8-0
3.3%
9-1
0.2%
+8
3.6%
7-0
6.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
6.7%
6-0
10.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
<0%
+6
11.2%
5-0
14.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
15.9%
4-0
16.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
18.9%
3-0
15.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.2%
+2
13.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.2%
+1
6.9%
2.1%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
0.7%
2-2
0.1%
0
2%
0.2%
Win probability
0.14
Expected goals
0-1
0.2%
1-2
0.1%
-1
0.2%
0-2
0%
-2
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
GUI
2 - 3
EGY
21%
28%
51%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
EGY
2 - 0
MOZ
87%
10%
4%
|
89 | 60 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2012 |
EGY
3 - 0
TOG
86%
10%
4%
|
89 | 62 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
EGY
2 - 1
CMR
63%
20%
16%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
LBN
1 - 4
EGY
15%
27%
59%
|
89 | 60 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Central African Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
ETH
2 - 0
CTA
82%
13%
5%
|
14 | 63 | 49 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
CTA
2 - 0
BOT
14%
23%
64%
|
12 | 67 | 55 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ALG
2 - 0
CTA
87%
10%
3%
|
12 | 79 | 67 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
EQG
3 - 0
CTA
80%
14%
6%
|
12 | 56 | 44 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CTA
0 - 0
MAR
6%
18%
76%
|
12 | 87 | 75 | 0 |