Egypt vs Niger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.3%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8%
4-0
11.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
15.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.1%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.6%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
4%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.9%
2.8%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2012 |
EGY
5 - 0
KEN
88%
9%
3%
|
89 | 59 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2011 |
EGY
0 - 2
BRA
16%
21%
63%
|
90 | 99 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
EGY
3 - 0
NIG
86%
10%
4%
|
89 | 61 | 28 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
SLE
2 - 1
EGY
17%
28%
55%
|
89 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
EGY
0 - 0
RSA
70%
18%
12%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Niger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2012 |
NIG
0 - 1
MAR
10%
22%
69%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
NIG
1 - 2
TUN
9%
19%
72%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2012 |
GAB
2 - 0
NIG
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
NIG
1 - 1
BOT
37%
28%
35%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
EGY
3 - 0
NIG
86%
10%
4%
|
61 | 89 | 28 | 0 |