Egypt vs Niger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.2%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.9%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
3.6%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
SLE
2 - 1
EGY
17%
28%
55%
|
89 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
EGY
0 - 0
RSA
70%
18%
12%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
RSA
1 - 0
EGY
33%
30%
38%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2011 |
EGY
3 - 1
UGA
80%
13%
7%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
EGY
5 - 1
KEN
85%
11%
4%
|
90 | 60 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Niger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
GAB
1 - 0
NIG
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
NIG
2 - 1
RSA
14%
24%
62%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
LBR
0 - 0
NIG
37%
25%
38%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
NIG
3 - 3
TOG
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
SLE
1 - 0
NIG
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |