Egypt vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.6%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
12%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
5.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2002 |
EGY
2 - 0
GHA
66%
20%
13%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2001 |
QAT
2 - 2
EGY
35%
28%
36%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2001 |
RSA
1 - 0
EGY
42%
27%
31%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
KEN
1 - 1
EGY
23%
27%
51%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2001 |
EGY
1 - 2
KOR
36%
25%
39%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2001 |
MLI
2 - 1
BFA
50%
25%
26%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 2001 |
MLI
1 - 1
GHA
33%
29%
38%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2001 |
MAR
1 - 1
MLI
71%
20%
10%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2001 |
MLI
0 - 3
CIV
27%
28%
45%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
MLI
2 - 1
EQG
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |