Egypt vs Malawi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
5.7%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 2
EGY
84%
11%
5%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
EGY
3 - 0
LBR
82%
13%
5%
|
84 | 54 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
EGY
3 - 0
NIG
82%
14%
5%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
KOR
4 - 1
EGY
59%
22%
19%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
ETH
2 - 0
EGY
16%
24%
60%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
BGD
1 - 1
MWI
10%
23%
67%
|
58 | 32 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MWI
1 - 1
LSO
52%
25%
24%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MOZ
0 - 0
MWI
42%
28%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MWI
1 - 1
MOZ
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
ZIM
0 - 3
MWI
53%
27%
21%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +2 |