Egypt vs Libya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.3%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
5.4%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
EGY
1 - 0
YEM
81%
14%
5%
|
86 | 51 | 35 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
EGY
3 - 0
TOG
79%
15%
6%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
EGY
1 - 2
CMR
57%
23%
20%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
BFA
1 - 1
EGY
17%
22%
61%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
EGY
1 - 0
MAR
62%
22%
17%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
LBY
0 - 0
TOG
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
SEN
2 - 1
LBY
67%
21%
12%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
LBY
0 - 1
TUN
24%
27%
49%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
COD
4 - 0
LBY
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
CPV
0 - 1
LBY
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |