Egypt vs Libya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.8%
3-0
13%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
5.6%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
EGY
0 - 1
JOR
74%
17%
10%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
EGY
4 - 0
CHA
94%
5%
1%
|
85 | 50 | 35 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 0
EGY
8%
16%
76%
|
86 | 49 | 37 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
EGY
3 - 0
ZAM
74%
17%
10%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 5
EGY
8%
16%
76%
|
86 | 48 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
RWA
1 - 3
LBY
29%
28%
43%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
LBY
1 - 0
RWA
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2015 |
LBY
0 - 4
MAR
27%
29%
44%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2015 |
TUN
1 - 0
LBY
65%
22%
13%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
LBY
1 - 2
CPV
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |