Egypt vs Liberia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.2%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.4%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
4.6%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
EGY
3 - 0
NIG
82%
14%
5%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
KOR
4 - 1
EGY
59%
22%
19%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
ETH
2 - 0
EGY
16%
24%
60%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
EGY
1 - 0
GUI
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
SEN
1 - 0
EGY
39%
26%
35%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
NIG
0 - 0
LBR
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
SEN
1 - 2
LBR
81%
14%
5%
|
52 | 84 | 32 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
LBR
0 - 3
SEN
12%
22%
66%
|
52 | 84 | 32 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2022 |
LBR
0 - 2
MAR
2%
18%
80%
|
53 | 88 | 35 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
BDI
2 - 1
LBR
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |