Egypt vs Liberia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.3%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
5.2%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2019 |
EGY
1 - 0
BOT
82%
14%
5%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
EGY
0 - 1
RSA
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
UGA
0 - 2
EGY
16%
24%
61%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2019 |
EGY
2 - 0
COD
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2019 |
EGY
1 - 0
ZIM
72%
17%
11%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 0
LBR
19%
19%
62%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
LBR
1 - 0
CHA
54%
24%
23%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2019 |
BOT
0 - 0
LBR
36%
27%
37%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
SLE
1 - 0
LBR
39%
26%
35%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
LBR
3 - 1
SLE
24%
22%
54%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |