Egypt vs Ethiopia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
3.27
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.9%
7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
SDN
1 - 2
EGY
42%
23%
35%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1955 |
EGY
0 - 4
POR
52%
20%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1955 |
BGR
2 - 1
EGY
52%
20%
28%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1955 |
EGY
1 - 0
BGR
62%
17%
21%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1954 |
EGY
0 - 3
HUN
23%
20%
57%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Ethiopia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1956 |
ETH
2 - 1
SDN
73%
15%
12%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |