Egypt vs Canada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2001 |
EGY
3 - 3
EST
83%
12%
6%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
EGY
5 - 2
ALG
64%
23%
14%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2001 |
EGY
1 - 0
PRK
68%
20%
12%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2001 |
EGY
3 - 2
CHN
51%
25%
23%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2001 |
EGY
3 - 1
ZAM
61%
23%
17%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2000 |
CAN
0 - 0
MEX
22%
27%
51%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2000 |
CAN
1 - 0
PAN
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
TTO
4 - 0
CAN
50%
26%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2000 |
MEX
2 - 0
CAN
74%
18%
9%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2000 |
PAN
0 - 0
CAN
33%
27%
40%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |