Egypt vs Botswana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.6%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
18.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
24%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.4%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.9%
4.5%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
EGY
0 - 1
RSA
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
UGA
0 - 2
EGY
16%
24%
61%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2019 |
EGY
2 - 0
COD
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2019 |
EGY
1 - 0
ZIM
72%
17%
11%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
EGY
3 - 1
GUI
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2019 |
BOT
0 - 0
LBR
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
MWI
1 - 0
BOT
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
BOT
0 - 0
MWI
41%
28%
31%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
ZAM
3 - 2
BOT
70%
20%
10%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2019 |
BOT
0 - 0
ZAM
19%
25%
56%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |