Egypt vs Botswana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.4%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
12%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
4.6%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
EGY
2 - 1
ZIM
79%
14%
7%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
EGY
10 - 0
SWZ
89%
8%
3%
|
87 | 45 | 42 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
QAT
3 - 1
EGY
23%
27%
50%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
CHI
2 - 1
EGY
61%
22%
18%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2013 |
CIV
4 - 2
EGY
50%
26%
25%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ETH
1 - 0
BOT
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
ANG
2 - 0
BOT
59%
25%
16%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 4
MLI
25%
27%
47%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
MLI
3 - 0
BOT
68%
20%
12%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 1
RSA
18%
27%
56%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |