Ecuador vs El Salvador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.4%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.3%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
4.9%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
POR
2 - 3
ECU
67%
19%
13%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
VEN
1 - 1
ECU
34%
27%
40%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
ECU
3 - 1
CHI
46%
25%
28%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
URU
1 - 1
ECU
60%
22%
18%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
ECU
1 - 0
BOL
73%
17%
10%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
El Salvador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
PAR
3 - 0
SLV
75%
18%
8%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
SLV
1 - 0
BLZ
79%
14%
7%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
CRC
1 - 0
SLV
72%
17%
11%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
SLV
0 - 0
PAN
27%
25%
48%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
HND
1 - 1
SLV
70%
18%
12%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |