Ecuador vs El Salvador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.2%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
7.5%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2007 |
ECU
1 - 0
BOL
59%
23%
18%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2007 |
BRA
1 - 0
ECU
93%
6%
1%
|
87 | 99 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2007 |
MEX
2 - 1
ECU
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2007 |
ECU
2 - 3
CHI
40%
25%
35%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
COL
3 - 1
ECU
62%
23%
15%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
El Salvador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2007 |
SLV
2 - 0
HND
16%
21%
63%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2007 |
USA
4 - 0
SLV
91%
8%
1%
|
67 | 93 | 26 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2007 |
GTM
1 - 0
SLV
70%
18%
11%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2007 |
SLV
2 - 1
TTO
21%
22%
57%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
SLV
0 - 1
HTI
33%
26%
41%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |