Ecuador vs Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
ECU
2 - 1
HND
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
ECU
3 - 1
BOL
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
ARG
1 - 0
ECU
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 96 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
ITA
2 - 0
ECU
62%
22%
17%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
GTM
0 - 2
ECU
18%
24%
58%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
GTM
0 - 0
VEN
22%
25%
53%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
ITA
2 - 1
VEN
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
PER
1 - 1
VEN
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
VEN
0 - 0
ECU
35%
26%
39%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
VEN
3 - 0
CHI
39%
26%
36%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |