Ecuador vs Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
15.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
ECU
4 - 0
CRC
59%
22%
19%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
ECU
5 - 2
JAM
67%
21%
13%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
CRC
0 - 2
ECU
45%
27%
29%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
BRA
4 - 2
ECU
88%
9%
3%
|
89 | 99 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
VEN
1 - 0
ECU
38%
25%
37%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
VEN
2 - 1
GUI
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
VEN
2 - 1
GUI
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
VEN
0 - 1
ARG
19%
24%
56%
|
85 | 97 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
HND
2 - 0
VEN
50%
25%
25%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
SLV
2 - 1
VEN
29%
27%
44%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |