Ecuador vs Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
12.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2003 |
ECU
2 - 0
GTM
66%
21%
13%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2003 |
ECU
2 - 2
PER
58%
24%
18%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2003 |
COL
0 - 0
ECU
64%
23%
14%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
ESP
4 - 0
ECU
81%
14%
5%
|
87 | 98 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2003 |
ECU
2 - 1
EST
69%
20%
11%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
VEN
3 - 2
HTI
60%
21%
18%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
NGA
1 - 0
VEN
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2003 |
TTO
2 - 2
VEN
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2003 |
VEN
0 - 1
PER
45%
26%
30%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
VEN
2 - 1
HND
31%
24%
46%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |