Ecuador vs Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.8%
5.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 1993 |
URU
0 - 0
ECU
70%
21%
10%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1993 |
ECU
0 - 0
BRA
17%
26%
57%
|
79 | 96 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1993 |
ECU
0 - 1
COL
52%
27%
22%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1993 |
ECU
0 - 2
MEX
40%
28%
32%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1993 |
ECU
3 - 0
PAR
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 1993 |
VEN
1 - 5
BRA
13%
25%
62%
|
59 | 95 | 36 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1993 |
VEN
0 - 1
URU
22%
30%
48%
|
59 | 89 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1993 |
VEN
1 - 7
BOL
38%
25%
36%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 1993 |
USA
3 - 3
VEN
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1993 |
URU
2 - 2
VEN
75%
17%
8%
|
59 | 90 | 31 | +1 |