Ecuador vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
43.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
ARG
1 - 0
ECU
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2023 |
CRC
1 - 3
ECU
28%
27%
45%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
ECU
1 - 0
BOL
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
AUS
1 - 2
ECU
49%
25%
27%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
AUS
3 - 1
ECU
46%
25%
29%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
URU
3 - 1
CHI
66%
20%
14%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2023 |
URU
2 - 0
CUB
88%
10%
3%
|
91 | 57 | 34 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2023 |
URU
4 - 1
NIC
87%
10%
3%
|
91 | 53 | 38 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
KOR
1 - 2
URU
34%
26%
41%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
JPN
1 - 1
URU
38%
25%
37%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |