Ecuador vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
49.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1985 |
PER
1 - 0
ECU
71%
18%
12%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1985 |
CHI
6 - 2
ECU
75%
16%
9%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1985 |
URU
2 - 1
ECU
77%
17%
7%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1985 |
ECU
1 - 1
CHI
32%
26%
42%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1985 |
ECU
3 - 0
BOL
56%
21%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
CHI
2 - 0
URU
45%
28%
27%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1985 |
URU
2 - 1
ECU
77%
17%
7%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1985 |
URU
2 - 2
PER
68%
21%
11%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1985 |
URU
3 - 0
COL
73%
19%
8%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1985 |
URU
2 - 1
FIN
82%
12%
5%
|
87 | 57 | 30 | 0 |