Ecuador vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
ECU
1 - 2
PRY
44%
25%
31%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1979 |
ECU
2 - 1
PER
34%
25%
41%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 1979 |
PER
2 - 1
ECU
80%
13%
7%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1979 |
ECU
2 - 1
CHL
34%
25%
41%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 1979 |
CHL
0 - 0
ECU
80%
13%
7%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1979 |
PER
2 - 0
URY
52%
24%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1979 |
URY
2 - 1
CHL
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 1979 |
CHL
1 - 0
URY
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1979 |
BRA
5 - 1
URY
83%
14%
4%
|
81 | 94 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1978 |
URY
0 - 0
ESP
31%
30%
39%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |