Ecuador vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
56.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 1973 |
ECU
1 - 1
COL
57%
21%
22%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1973 |
COL
1 - 1
ECU
62%
18%
20%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1973 |
HTI
1 - 0
ECU
69%
16%
15%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1973 |
HTI
1 - 2
ECU
71%
16%
13%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1973 |
ECU
0 - 0
BOL
47%
21%
32%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 1973 |
COL
0 - 0
URU
21%
22%
56%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1973 |
HTI
0 - 0
URU
36%
27%
38%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1973 |
URU
1 - 1
ARG
44%
27%
29%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1973 |
ARG
1 - 1
URU
67%
21%
13%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1972 |
ARG
1 - 0
URU
66%
21%
14%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |